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Hyperliquid: MACD Crossover Hints at New Rally

Hyperliquid: MACD Crossover Hints at New Rally

Summary

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is trading at $32.63 at press time, up 1.5% in the past 24 hours and hovering near the top of its weekly range between $26.22 and $33.33.

Despite the broader market downturn, HYPE has held up surprisingly well. The token is up 16% over the past week and nearly 100% over the past year. It still trades about 44% below its September 2025 all-time high of $59.30.

According to derivatives data, volume fell 15% to $1.48 billion while open interest edged up 1.2% to $1.29 billion, suggesting traders are cautiously adding exposure.

MACD Crossover Shifts Short-Term Momentum

The daily chart shows a fresh bullish signal. The MACD line has crossed above the signal line for the first time in several sessions, and the histogram has turned positive. Momentum is building, though confirmation is still needed.

Price remains above the mid-Bollinger Band, which aligns with the 20-day moving average. The bands are starting to widen after a period of compression. When volatility expands alongside a bullish crossover, follow-through often occurs.

RSI has climbed back above 50 and continues to trend higher without entering overbought territory. Buyers appear to be regaining control, and there is still room for upside if momentum holds.

Structurally, HYPE is forming higher lows after its late-February dip. Price is now pressing against the $33–$34 resistance zone.

Hyperliquid Price Short-Term Outlook

Near-term expectations are split. If HYPE consolidates above $30, analysts see room for a push toward $35 and possibly $38–$40 later in March, especially if overall crypto sentiment improves.

Failure to maintain the $27–$30 support range could expose $22–$23, and if selling picks up speed, there is a greater risk toward $18–$21. The broader pattern of lower highs has not been fully invalidated.

Fundamentally, new activity may be sparked by the impending HIP-4 upgrade, which adds outcome trading features. Tokenomics remain promising, with daily buybacks and aggressive fee burns reducing the amount in circulation.

That said, a scheduled 9.92 million token unlock on March 6 may add short-term pressure, especially if broader crypto markets weaken.

The setup is there, but setups need follow-through. For now, the MACD crossover has tilted short-term momentum upward. A clean break above $34 would strengthen the bullish case, while a rejection there could keep price locked in a volatile range.

Read more: Bitcoin death cross warns of 35% decline risk | Solana vs Ethereum L2s: DeFi competition 2026 | Solana ETFs Defy 57% Drop With $1.5B Inflows

Bottom line
Hyperliquid’s MACD crossover near $33 tilts short-term momentum bullish. A break above $34 targets $36; loss of $30 risks a pullback toward $29. HIP-4 upgrade supports fundamentals, but the March 6 token unlock may add pressure.

Frequently asked questions

What is the MACD crossover signal?

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) flips bullish when the short-term 12-period EMA crosses above the 26-period EMA, typically accompanied by the histogram crossing zero. On Hyperliquid (HYPE), the current bullish MACD crossover near $33 resistance is a momentum signal suggesting buyers are regaining control after consolidation.

What are the key price levels for Hyperliquid?

Immediate resistance sits at $33-$34. A break above $34 opens $36 as the next target. On the downside, loss of $30 would invalidate the bullish setup and expose $29 support. RSI above 50 confirms momentum is building; a drop below 40 would suggest the rally is stalling.

What's Hyperliquid and why is it worth watching?

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is a high-performance on-chain perpetual-futures DEX that became one of the top-performing 2024-2025 crypto launches. It has its own Layer-1 chain optimised for derivatives trading and has captured meaningful market share from centralised perp venues. The project’s airdrop retention and active-trader engagement have been standout metrics.

What are the token unlock risks?

Hyperliquid has scheduled token unlocks that expand circulating supply over the next 12-18 months. Unlock events typically put downward pressure on price in the weeks around each cliff as early investors and team allocations become liquid. Traders watching the MACD breakout should also track the upcoming unlock schedule — a positive technical setup can be overwhelmed by supply-side pressure.

Should I trade Hyperliquid based on MACD alone?

No technical indicator works in isolation. MACD crossovers fail 40-50% of the time in crypto’s noisy environment. Pair with volume confirmation, trend structure, and broader market context (BTC direction, funding rates). For retail users, the better use of the signal is size and entry discipline: confirm the breakout before adding rather than pre-positioning into the resistance.
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